Blue or Red in ’25? (Here’s How to Win Either Way)
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The attempt on Donald Trump’s life over the weekend was shocking and upsetting.
According to the betting markets, we’ve seen an increased chance of Trump winning—and this recent situation only made its odds increase.
According to the website called PredictIt, the odds of a Trump victory have now moved up to +67% on Sunday – compared with a +60% probability as of last Friday.
As traders, we just ask ourselves one key question….
How will the November election impact our portfolio?
Here’s some telling statistics – courtesy of Charles Schwab…
According to a recent study dating back to 1961, an investor who put $100,000 into the S&P 500 ONLY when Republicans were President would have made $102,293 by the end of last year.
On the flipside, an investor who put $100,000 into the S&P 500 ONLY when Democrats were President would have made $500,476 by the end of last year.
That’s a shocking difference. But it gets even more powerful when you read this next line….
Anyone who stayed in the S&P 500 index NO MATTER which party held the Presidency made $5,119,510 by the end of last year.
**The Takeaway: Don’t time Presidential cycles. Just stay invested!
YOUR ACTION PLAN
There will clearly be some winning companies if the Republicans regain power. Notably, old-school energy plays will be back in play. Republicans say that they want the U.S. to be a dominant energy producer – which (to me) means that old-fashioned energy stocks like Exxon Mobile (XOM), Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY), and Chevron Corporation (CVX) could benefit from another Trump term.
**Reminder! Dark Ticker Event This Wednesday: If you do not yet have Dark Ticker trades as part of your MTA membership plan, then it’s time to clear your calendar – and join us for a Dark Ticker event this Wednesday 2pm EST at MTA Live.
This event will break down our Dark Ticker methodology – revealing everything you need to know about one of the greatest wealth-building strategies in existence today. If you’re already a Dark Ticker trader, then your attendance is not required (even then you’re more than welcome to join). However, if you are not yet a Dark Ticker member, then you cannot miss this private event.
Mark your calendar now – and we’ll see you on Wednesday – LIVE!
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MONDAY MARKET MINUTE
- The Dow’s latest benchmark: As I’ve been saying, the Blue Chips have finally joined the market rally party – closing last week above 40,000 for the first time since May. Wall Street’s blue-chip index is up 5.4% year to date, and this will present new buying opportunities. Tracking.
- Crypto on the rise: Bitcoin is up 9% over the last 5 days amidst surging ETF inflows. Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump has also been a champion of Bitcoin, and the latest assassination attempt on the former president increased investor’s confidence he’ll win the 2024 election. We’re currently positioned on Bitcoin in The War Room and also have exposure to gold.
- United Parcel Service (UPS) breaks to the upside: After a long wait, we finally started to see the push we wanted late last week. Now we’re looking at a chance for more upside heading into the second half of 2024.
- Costco (COST) remains a dip buy: Last week’s drop from $900 down to support at $840 could be a dip-buy opportunity.
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