I’ve got 48 hours to be right about Dollar General (DG). Here’s my bet…

I bought calls yesterday that expire Friday. I’ll either be a hero or strike out.

We’ll find out in two days.

So far? It’s looking good. But that’s not why I’m telling you about it.

I’m telling you because when I saw this setup, I couldn’t NOT take it. Sometimes a chart grabs you by the throat and says. “Trade me!” This was one of those times.

Look, I’m a simple guy. I see Trend, Pattern, Squeeze – I trade it.

DG had all three lined up perfectly.

EMAs stacked like a textbook. Bull flag so clean it was almost insulting. And those stacked squeezes on multiple time frames? That’s when I stop thinking and start buying.

The 78-, 60-, 30-, and 15-minute charts were all compressed and ready to fire. When smaller time frames squeeze first, they lead the bigger ones up. It’s mechanical.

But here’s what sealed the trade for me…

The talking heads have been barking about how tariffs are crushing retail… but DG barely imports anything. It has only 5% to 9% direct exposure versus competitors drowning in import costs.

The numbers backed up what the chart was screaming. In the last quarter, DG saw $1.28 EPS versus $0.94 expected. Sales were up 4.6%. Its margins expanded while everyone else contracts.

Your Action Plan

The trade-down story is accelerating, too. When people worry about money, they shop at Dollar General. With all this market choppiness, that defensive positioning is pure gold.

I had perfect technicals meeting perfect fundamentals with less than three days on the clock. The chart screamed at me, so I pulled the trigger.

Now we wait.

These call options expire Friday, so if I’m wrong, I’ll know fast.

But when everything lines up this cleanly, sometimes you trust your system and bet on yourself.

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