Early 2026 Trends to Trade

As I’m sure you heard…

Last Saturday morning, U.S. forces captured Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in a large-scale attack on the South American nation. They have been indicted on drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York.

Venezuela, who is a founding member of OPEC, sits on the largest oil reserves in the world: 303 billion barrels or 17% of global reserves.

Trump says U.S. oil companies will invest billions of dollars in Venezuela after Maduro’s overthrow. How will this impact global oil supply – and prices?

Quite honestly, we’re now in uncharted territory, so answering that question is anyone’s guess.

Instead… as we start the 2026 trading year, I would like to highlight some notable trends that I believe could emerge as top profit-producing themes.

Here’s a rundown…

Will Tech/AI Continue to Buoy the Markets? The S&P 500 gained +16% in 2025, driven primarily by the 3-year AI/tech stock rally. But as we look back, cracks are starting to show. Only Nvidia and Google out-performed their benchmark indexes last year. Now, as we enter 2026, even the smallest disappointments could start to unravel the upside.

January Pre-Announcement Risk? A recent trend shows that companies tend to pre-announce bad news in January, just to set a low bar and reset expectations for the remainder of the year.

Mid-Term Presidential Cycle Risk? Historically speaking, mid-term election years have been the worst of any given presidential cycle. The S&P 500 finishes higher in mid-term years only 53% of the time – with an average gain of +4.6% (while the other three years in the presidential cycle have finished higher 78% of the time with an average gain of +11%).

Baton Passing Over to the “Suddenly Sexy 3” Memory Stocks? The AI trade is now moving over to big memory stocks, which is why the three top-performing stocks in the S&P 500 last year went to Western Digital (WDC) with a +282% gain, Micron (MU) with a +239% gain and Seagate (STX) with a +219% gain.

But even more shocking than those returns is the fact that these stocks still trade at P/E valuations in the low 20s, which is still a discount to the overall market. With the Consumer Electronics show coming to Las Vegas January 6-9, these three could still have a trigger catalyst for even more upside.

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YOUR ACTION PLAN

As any of these themes produce trade candidates, I’ll be issuing new recommendations live inside The War Room.

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