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Last week was honestly one of my most frustrating weeks of the year. Everything I touched seemed to go the wrong way. APLD got crushed after CoreWeave sold their stake. KVYO just sat there doing nothing. Even my mouse kept dying on me during the stream, which is just a pain in the butt.

But you know what? Sometimes the best setups come when everything else is going sideways.

Right now I’m looking at AAP sitting at $48ish, and this is what I call a “now or never” moment.

This isn’t some random support line I drew with a crayon. This red line you see at $48? That’s the post-earnings point of control. The price where the most volume has traded since AAP’s earnings win.

And right here, right now, AAP is testing whether this level holds or not.

Here’s Why This Actually Matters

Look, I’ve been doing this long enough to know that when a stock pulls back to its point of control, you get exactly two outcomes.

Either it bounces and continues higher, or it breaks and heads much lower. There’s no middle ground.

That’s why I’m not messing around with short-dated options here. I left on Wednesday to take my family on a summer vacation, so I want to put on a trade that I don’t have to think about, that I don’t have to manage.

I picked up the July OTM calls. That gives me 32 days for this thing to work out. My target? $60 or more, which means these options should be worth 5-10x what I paid for them.

But here’s the thing — I also grabbed some ATM calls for this week. This is what I call a lotto play off the support. If AAP can just hold this $48 level and bounce back to even the mid-50s, those weekly calls could be massive.

The Part Everyone’s Missing

Most traders are looking at AAP and seeing disappointment. They’re seeing a stock that couldn’t break through resistance last week. They want to move on to the next shiny thing.

I’m seeing tons of support at $48. Volume profile doesn’t lie — this is where real money makes real decisions. And if AAP can’t hold here? Fine, I’ll move on. But if it does hold… this is the spot.

Think about what happens at these levels. The people who bought AAP during its run are all underwater if it breaks $48. They become forced sellers. The momentum crowd that loved it at $55? They’ve already moved on.

But high-quality companies at major support levels — that’s where the smart money shows up.

Why I’m Actually Confident About This

AAP is in a perfect support zone here.

You know what? I might even do a larger position on this thing. This is either going to hold $48 or it isn’t. If it doesn’t, maybe it comes back down to $42, maybe it closes the gap. I doubt it closes the gap, but right here… this is the spot.

This is it. AAP is now or never.

Make sense?

The beauty of support zone trading is the market tells you pretty quickly if you’re right or wrong. Clear risk, clear reward. That’s how I like to trade, especially when I’m about to be sitting on a beach in Hawaii not watching charts.

Your Action Plan

If you’re looking at this setup, here’s what I’d suggest. Don’t buy this week’s calls unless you want to make it a small lotto play. When in doubt, go further out in time. That’s a great rule of thumb.

The calls for July make more sense if this is the first time you’re looking at this chart. You’re giving yourself time for the trade to work out instead of trying to time it perfectly.

Sometimes the best trades are the ones where you’re buying what everyone else is selling. Right now, that’s AAP at $48.

By the way, AAP is not a random setup. In fact, it fits my criteria for Opening Bell Aftershocks.

If you’d like to discover how the strategy works, click here to get started.