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– Ryan Fitzwater, Publisher

Most traders see a stock getting hammered and run for the exits.

Yesterday morning, I backed up the truck.

While everyone else was watching APLD struggle and calling it a “failed breakout,” I was adding more calls. Doubling down on what looked like disaster.

Because sometimes the worst-performing stock on your screen is about to become your biggest winner.

And yesterday, APLD gave me exactly that setup.

The Chart Was Screaming

Look, I’ve been doing this long enough to know when a stock wants to move. APLD had everything — what we call the trend structure was perfect.

The trend structure is basically three moving average lines that show you which direction a stock is heading.

Think of them like three different speed limits on the highway — the 8-day average, 21-day average, and 55-day average. When the fastest one (8-day) is above the medium one (21-day), which is above the slowest one (55-day), it’s like having a green light for bullish moves.

APLD had this perfect stack going.

But what really caught my eye? It was coiled up right against this major trend line.

A trend line is basically a line you draw connecting the peaks where a stock keeps getting rejected. It’s like an invisible ceiling. APLD had bounced off this ceiling multiple times, but yesterday it was pressed right up against it again. And just overhead? The all-time high was sitting there waiting.

“If we can get a momentum shift on this 15-minute chart, even without the squeeze, take out this trend line, the all-time high is right there,” I told my live trading room.

I was also watching for what we call “squeezes” — periods when a stock’s volatility gets compressed like a coiled spring. When they release, moves can be explosive.

So why wasn’t it moving?

The $200 Million Anchor

While everyone was staring at the same chart, they missed the real story.

APLD couldn’t break out because it was dragging a $200 million anchor.

Stock offerings work like this: when a company needs cash, they create new shares and sell them to investors. But while that’s happening, there’s constant artificial selling pressure hitting the market. Someone’s always dumping fresh shares, keeping the price pinned down no matter how good your technical setup looks.

It’s frustrating as hell when you see a perfect setup just sitting there doing nothing. But artificial pressure doesn’t last forever.

And smart money knows it.

Volume Tells the Truth

Yesterday’s volume on APLD hit 30 million shares. For context, normal days see maybe 10-15 million.

Volume is like a lie detector for stocks. When it spikes during artificial selling pressure like this, it means real buyers are stepping in. They’re not scared of the temporary ceiling — they’re using it as a buying opportunity.

Once that offering wraps up, all that selling pressure disappears overnight. And that beautiful technical setup finally gets unleashed.

39% Short — Holy Crap

But wait, it gets better.

The short float on APLD? 39%.

Short selling works like this: if you think a stock is going down, you can borrow shares from someone else, sell them immediately, and hope to buy them back cheaper later. You pocket the difference.

Short float tells you what percentage of a stock’s available shares are currently borrowed this way.

39% is massive.

Nearly 4 out of every 10 shares are borrowed by people betting against this thing. All while the company’s completing an offering that’s artificially holding the price down.

When those shorts need to “cover” — buy back the shares they borrowed — they become forced buyers. They have to buy regardless of price. And when 39% of the float needs to cover at the same time? That creates what we call a short squeeze.

So you’ve got this perfect breakout setup sitting at a major trend line, with 39% short interest, and temporary offering pressure holding it down.

It’s like having a coiled spring with a brick sitting on top of it.

Remove the brick — offering complete — and all those shorts scramble to cover just as the technical breakout triggers.

With the all-time high overhead and clean trend structure below, that move could be violent.

The CRWV Clue

Something else caught my attention yesterday.

CoreWeave (CRWV) was ripping higher — up big. And CRWV holds 5.5% of APLD, about 13 million shares.

Normally when a major shareholder’s stock flies, it drags related holdings with it. It’s like sector rotation — money flows from one stock to another in the same space. But APLD wasn’t following.

This divergence told me exactly what was happening — the offering pressure was preventing the normal correlation.

Once that pressure lifts, APLD has serious catching up to do.

Your Action Plan

I wasn’t trying to time the exact breakout. I was building a position while the offering pressure kept everyone else scared.

I’m playing this one with options, they’re cheaper than buying the actual stock, but they amplify moves. If APLD jumps from $15 to $18, the stock goes up 20%. But those calls might go up 200% or more.

If you want to follow setups like this, then you’re in luck.

I'm doing a live demo of my AI-powered tool, S.A.M. this Wednesday, June 11th at 2 PM EST.

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I’ll show you exactly how I use it to spot these hidden setups while everyone else is chasing headlines and getting spooked by market noise.

Click here to RSVP your Spot.