The $5 Trillion Market Sitting at Zero

A Star Wars collection sits in my office. I’ve kept it since I was a boy.

Image of a Star Wars collection

C-3PO. R2-D2. The droids that scared me, made me laugh, and made me believe a future filled with intelligent machines was real. I never thought I would live to see it.

I am about to.

For the first time in my life, I believe robotics is ready to walk out of science fiction and into every household in America.

Not 50 years from now or 20, but in the next decade.

Most investors are still treating robotics like a sci-fi pitch. Cool concept, far away, and no real money in it.

That is exactly the kind of skepticism that surrounded the original iPhone announcement in 2007. Anyone who bought Apple the day the iPhone 1.0 was announced has made roughly 70 times their money. Most people did not buy.

They waited until the story was obvious. By the time the story was obvious, the easiest gains were already in the rearview mirror.

Robotics is at that same stage today.

The signals are everywhere if you know where to look. Food delivery robots are already rolling around college campuses. Warehouses are being automated faster than companies can hire. Surgical robots are in operating rooms across the country.

The Roomba, which has been quietly vacuuming American living rooms for two decades, was the first beachhead. What comes next is going to make the Roomba look like a toy.

Jensen Huang at NVIDIA has called this “the ChatGPT moment for physical AI.” He says every industrial company in the world will become a robotics company.

When the CEO of the company supplying the brains for these machines is making that kind of statement publicly, it is not hype. It is a roadmap.

Morgan Stanley projects the humanoid robotics market alone will reach $5 trillion by 2050. Today, the market is essentially zero. That is the spread between where this industry sits right now and where the smartest institutional researchers think it is heading.

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I do not say this lightly. I have been a floor trader and a stock picker for over 25 years.

In all that time, I have rarely felt the kind of conviction I feel about this trend. Robotics is not a trade. It is a long-term positioning opportunity.

The boy who collected those Star Wars toys believed the future would have robots in it.

The investor he became is telling you that the future is no longer fiction.

It is being built right now, in factories, hospitals, warehouses, and college campuses across America.

The investors who position now, while the rest of the market is still arguing about whether humanoid robots are real, are the ones who are going to look back at this moment the way I look at the boxes in my office.

In the coming days, I’ll be sharing more details about my top robotics stock idea.

Stay tuned.

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