How we banked 50% on Palantir’s AI insanity
Let’s face it, 2025 has been the year of the moonshot for Palantir (PLTR). AI hype, defense contracts, and a stock chart that looks like it’s been mainlining Red Bull.
But what do you do when everyone and their grandma wants a piece—and the premiums on those options are juiced like a Florida orange?
You don’t chase. You get paid.
That’s exactly what we did back in early March. While the crowd was tripping over each other to buy at $80, we took a breath, checked the volatility, and picked our spot.
The Setup: Sell When Everyone Is Panicking
On March 6, Palantir was trading at $80—well off its February 19th highs of $125.41. Volatility was off the charts (thanks, tariffs), and the VIX spiked over 60. Option premiums? Fat. This is when you want to be a seller, not a buyer.
Here’s what we did:
SELL TO OPEN the PLTR January 2026 $25 puts for $0.60–$0.75. Start high, work your way down, but do NOT take less than $0.60.
Yeah, you read that right—the $25 strike, a full 70% below the market price. The odds of getting put were under 20%.
Translation: You’re getting paid to buy a great company at a deep discount, and the only way you lose is if the world falls apart.
But—and this is key—you MUST position size. If you go too big, you’re asking for trouble. Don’t be that guy.
Why Palantir? Here’s the Big Picture
Now, let’s get real for a second. Palantir isn’t your typical “nuts and bolts” defense stock. This is the company that’s eating the lunch of the $64,000 hammer crowd. While the old guard is sweating cost cuts, Palantir’s selling the software that actually saves money and wins contracts. Speed and scale matter now more than ever.
And if you need Wall Street validation, Bank of America just dropped a monster research note on May 12, lifting their price target to $150. Here’s the gist:
- Growth: 59% year-over-year in commercial customer count, 36% Y/Y in commercial sales.
- Defense: DoD is shifting toward “commercial-like contract terms”—that’s tailor-made for Palantir.
- AI Edge: Palantir’s not just wrapping ChatGPT for press releases—their AI is actually driving business results at scale.
- Tariff Angst: Even with all the drama, PLTR’s fundamentals are strong, and now the Street’s waking up to it.
You can read the full BofA note if you want all the nitty gritty, but here’s my read: Palantir is the real deal in both commercial and defense, and the Street finally gets it.
Weathering the Storm: The Heat Was Real
Let’s not sugarcoat it. The market served us a gut check in April. Palantir dropped as low as $66.12 during the tariff-driven sell-off. Did I panic? Nope. We had time on our side, volatility on our side, and plenty of wiggle room with that $25 strike.
This is why you sell puts on stocks you’d be happy to own at lower prices. If you’re not comfortable owning PLTR at $25, you shouldn’t be in this trade. Period.
The Close: 50% Profit—Thank You, Market Insanity
Fast-forward to today, and Palantir’s powering back to $118. The options market finally sobered up, and we bought back our Jan 2026 $25 puts for $0.36 or better—a cool 50% return on premium.
And just as closed out, BofA came out there pounding the table for $150 price targets.
Do I care? Not really. We played the volatility, not the headlines.
Lessons: How to Use This Playbook
If you take one thing away, it’s this:
Sell puts when you love a stock and the market’s in full-on freak-out mode. Don’t chase, don’t FOMO, and for the love of risk management, size your position.
- Wait for volatility.
- Pick a strike you’d actually want to own.
- Sell premium, get paid to wait.
- Don’t get greedy—close for a tidy gain when the odds are in your favor.
Your Action Plan
PLTR’s up 56% year-to-date, and sure, it’s the darling of the defense/AI crowd. But your job isn’t to guess the next price target—it’s to make money. This trade did exactly that, and with a lot less stress than chasing the highs.
Trade the Global Rotation with Me—LIVE
If you’re serious about catching the next big move, you can’t just stare at U.S. tickers all day.
The smart money is rotating overseas—and I’m bringing in the one guy who’s mapped it all out: JC Parets from TrendLabs.
Join us Thursday, May 15th, at 2:00pm EST (1:00pm CDT) for “Global Breakout: Trade the Rotation.”
Here’s what we’re unpacking together—live and unfiltered:
- Where the big money is flowing in Europe, Asia, and Latin America (hint: it’s not just the Magnificent 7 anymore)
- How the U.S. dollar’s next move could be your cheat code for global trades
- Why the news cycle is lying to you—and how the charts tell the real story
- And yeah, we’re taking your questions, live and on the spot
This isn’t theory. This is the exact playbook we’re using right now. And it’s 100% free.
Just click here to get into the Monument Traders LIVE chat room on Thursday—no excuses.
If you want to stop watching and start winning, I’ll see you there.
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