What the “Rule of 5” Predicts for 2025

When it comes to how I’m trading 2025, I have two major themes.
I went over both of them at the Monument Traders Alliance Roundtable yesterday.
Click here to watch the full event if you haven’t already.
One concept I went over was “The Rule of 5.”
It’s a very simple rule I’m following this year.
Check out the data below…
Looking back over the past 100 years, years ending in 5 have been consistently positive.
The one exception was 2015, when the equity market returned negative 1% – not too bad. Here are the historical results.
- S&P Return 1935: +43%
- S&P Return 1945: +30%
- S&P Return 1955: +26%
- S&P Return 1965: +9%
- S&P Return 1975: +31%
- S&P Return 1985: +26%
- S&P Return 1995: +34%
- S&P Return 2005: +3%
- S&P Return 2015: -0.73%
- S&P Return 2025: ???
Source: https://www.macrotrends.net/2526/sp-500-historical-annual-returns
As you’ll see in the chart above, years ending in 5 have been some of the most historically strong years in the history of the market.
And this rule of 5 actually dovetails nicely into another data point I’m watching closely this year.
You see… while there’s clear positive S&P correlation for years ending in “5,” we also have a situation where we haven’t seen a 10% correction in more than 18 months.
Typically markets pullback at least 10% every 8 to 9 months.
So here we are, in a strong market year ending in “5,” but we haven’t seen a 10% correction that we’re overdue for.
Do you see the conflict there?
Which brings me back to the thesis of 2025 being “an investor hell and a trader’s paradise.”
I could see the 2025 market ending in the positive but also see a freak-out period where the market has a 10% pullback.
YOUR ACTION PLAN
Based on the recent data, let’s prepare for more upside bias in 2025 – but at the same time – also be ready for a major market correction – which I believe is long overdue.
For more on my complete 2025 trading plan, check out the Monument Traders Alliance Live Roundtable.
I also gave my No. 1 takeover candidate for 2025 during this event.
You won’t want to miss that pick.
Click here to unlock my latest buy opportunity.
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